Carlton Town vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 4
CAR
23%
23%
55%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LOU
0 - 1
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
STA
2 - 2
CAR
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
GLA
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 2
RUS
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
KID
2 - 1
GRE
47%
25%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
QUO
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 2
GRE
37%
26%
38%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 1
WIL
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
RET
0 - 1
GRE
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +1 |