Carolinense vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
IME
1 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
CAR
3 - 0
UDS
40%
27%
33%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
BEN
3 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
30%
29%
42%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
MAL
2 - 0
CAR
69%
20%
12%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
MMA
2 - 0
UBE
68%
19%
12%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
PAL
0 - 1
MMA
38%
28%
34%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
MMA
4 - 1
BAI
60%
22%
17%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
MMA
3 - 2
IME
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
UDS
2 - 0
MMA
49%
26%
25%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |