Carolinense vs UD La Guardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BAE
2 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
UBE
70%
19%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MEN
2 - 0
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
ESC
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAR
30%
27%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LAG
4 - 0
JOD
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ILI
1 - 2
LAG
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BAE
2 - 4
LAG
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 3
UBE
64%
21%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 2
JOD
22%
22%
56%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |