Carolinense vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+171%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CLU
2 - 5
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
URG
36%
24%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
LID
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BAE
1 - 2
UBE
29%
26%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 2
BAE
50%
22%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAE
2 - 3
ADL
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAE
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BAE
2 - 1
CAZ
45%
24%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |