Carolinense vs CD Alhaurino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MLK
2 - 1
CAR
22%
24%
54%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FUE
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 4
VIL
18%
22%
60%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDR
0 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAE
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alhaurino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 2
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDR
0 - 4
ALH
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALH
3 - 2
BAE
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CHU
2 - 1
ALH
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ALH
3 - 1
ACO
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |