North Carolina vs Puerto Rico Islanders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
MON
1 - 2
CAR
37%
30%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
FOR
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 3
CAR
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 1
CAR
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
EDM
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +4 |
Matches
Puerto Rico Islanders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2011 |
MIN
2 - 0
PRI
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PRI
7 - 0
WBC
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
WBC
1 - 1
PRI
15%
20%
64%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PRI
2 - 2
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
PRI
3 - 1
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +2 |