Carmelita vs Santos de Guápiles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAP
1 - 0
ADC
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ADC
2 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CSH
1 - 1
ADC
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
ADC
3 - 0
BEL
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
ADC
0 - 1
PER
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Santos de Guápiles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
PER
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 4
LDA
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CSC
0 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
PFC
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |