League Cup Wales 1/32

Carmarthen Town vs Swansea U21 analysis

Carmarthen Town Swansea U21
44 ELO 59
10.9% Tilt 0.4%
5009º General ELO ranking 4047º
31º Country ELO ranking 111º
ELO win probability
13.6%
Carmarthen Town
16.1%
Draw
70.3%
Swansea U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
Carmarthen Town
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
70.3%
Win probability
Swansea U21
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO progression

Carmarthen Town
Swansea U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Carmarthen Town
Carmarthen Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 2023
CAR
Cardiff MU
0 - 2
Carmarthen Town
CAR
82%
13%
5%
44 67 23 0
01 Jul. 2023
CAR
Carmarthen Town
1 - 6
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
41%
23%
36%
44 46 2 0
24 Jun. 2023
CAR
Carmarthen Town
2 - 2
Goytre AFC
GOY
70%
17%
13%
44 34 10 0
17 Jun. 2023
CAR
Carmarthen Town
2 - 3
Haverfordwest County
HAV
15%
20%
65%
45 61 16 -1
28 Apr. 2023
CAR
Carmarthen Town
2 - 0
Ynyshir Albions
YAF
78%
13%
9%
44 33 11 +1

Matches

Swansea U21
Swansea U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2023
SWA
Swansea U21
10 - 1
Birmingham City U21
BCI
76%
16%
8%
59 42 17 0
05 May. 2023
SWA
Swansea U21
3 - 1
Bristol City U21
BRI
57%
23%
21%
58 55 3 +1
01 May. 2023
FCB
Burnley U21
2 - 4
Swansea U21
SWA
23%
23%
54%
57 44 13 +1
24 Apr. 2023
SWA
Swansea U21
4 - 1
Sheffield United U21
SUN
53%
23%
24%
56 54 2 +1
18 Apr. 2023
BAR
Barnsley U21
2 - 1
Swansea U21
SWA
24%
24%
52%
56 46 10 0