Carmarthen Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 2
GOY
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TNS
2 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 5
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAN
39%
25%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 3
NEW
29%
23%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 4
AIR
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
20%
23%
56%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 3
RHY
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |