Carmarthen Town vs Newport City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+229%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GOY
3 - 1
CAR
38%
24%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 1
CAM
37%
24%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 3
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
BDG
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Newport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NWC
1 - 0
TRE
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
NWC
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NWC
0 - 1
GOY
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
NWC
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LID
1 - 1
NWC
81%
11%
8%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |