Carmarthen Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 3
CAE
38%
24%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAL
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 3
TNS
11%
19%
71%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 0
CEF
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
CEF
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 0
ABE
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |