Carmarthen Town vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
TNS
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PRE
7 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LID
2 - 1
CAR
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
LID
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAN
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 1
LID
83%
12%
6%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 3
BAN
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAN
14%
20%
66%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
7 - 1
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |