Carmarthen Town vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
AIR
5 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
RHY
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
AIR
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
BAL
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 5
BAL
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
DIF
31%
23%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
DIF
3 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |