Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
LID
35%
25%
39%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AIR
0 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
2 - 0
AIR
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LID
0 - 2
ABE
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |