Carlos Renaux vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Renaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 0
INT
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 3
CRA
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 3
CAM
21%
21%
57%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -3 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
CRA
4 - 0
FFC
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +3 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 1
CRA
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
TUB
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
TUB
1 - 2
CAC
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
NES
3 - 0
TUB
44%
22%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TUB
0 - 3
BAR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
CAM
3 - 0
TUB
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |