CA Mannucci vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Mannucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
LOS
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
MAN
40%
27%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 3
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 1
MAN
33%
30%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AUN
0 - 0
CIE
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
AUN
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 0
AUN
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AUN
3 - 0
LOS
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 0
AUN
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |