Carlisle United vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 2
CUM
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CUM
3 - 2
MOR
66%
19%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 0
CRE
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 1
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
COL
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 4
CRE
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
TRA
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
POR
64%
20%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
0 - 0
MAN
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |