Carlisle United vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CUM
5 - 2
MAN
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
GRI
2 - 2
CUM
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CUM
3 - 2
EXE
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 0
CUM
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
CUM
4 - 2
FLE
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GIL
3 - 0
ROC
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 0
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 0
SWI
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 0
MAI
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
4 - 0
ROC
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |