Carlisle United vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
OPA
1 - 1
CUM
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
SCU
3 - 1
CUM
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 1
STE
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
CUM
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CUM
1 - 1
SCU
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MKD
1 - 3
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
DON
0 - 0
MKD
38%
26%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
OLD
3 - 1
MKD
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MKD
0 - 3
BOU
53%
24%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
YEO
2 - 1
MKD
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |