Carlisle United vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
CUM
2 - 3
LEE
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
HUR
1 - 1
CUM
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
COL
2 - 1
CUM
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CUM
2 - 2
LEY
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
EXE
2 - 3
CUM
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
SOU
3 - 1
MKD
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
STO
1 - 3
MKD
21%
24%
54%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MKD
1 - 1
EXE
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
COL
2 - 0
MKD
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MKD
1 - 0
TRA
67%
20%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |