Carlisle United vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
YEO
0 - 1
CUM
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 3
CUM
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 0
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
NOT
2 - 1
CUM
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 1
COL
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GRI
0 - 1
EXE
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 1
GRI
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 0
GRI
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
GRI
1 - 1
CHE
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
YEO
3 - 0
GRI
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |