Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
47.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
CUM
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
CUM
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CUM
0 - 0
CAM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
CUM
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 1
CUM
25%
24%
52%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 2
SCU
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
CUM
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CRE
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
LEY
2 - 4
FOR
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
PLY
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |