Carlisle United vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CUM
1 - 1
SWI
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 2
CUM
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 4
CUM
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CUM
2 - 1
WAL
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
OLD
1 - 1
CUM
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SCU
1 - 0
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
MOR
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHE
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 1
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |