Cariñena Atl. vs Ariza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
52.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariñena Atl.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
CEL
14%
18%
68%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CDU
7 - 0
CAR
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
CDC
23%
21%
57%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAL
6 - 3
CAR
38%
22%
41%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALC
26%
20%
54%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ARI
0 - 4
SAD
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 3
ARI
28%
21%
50%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ARI
4 - 0
PRA
51%
21%
27%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MON
6 - 1
ARI
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ARI
0 - 3
OLV
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |