Cariari Pococí vs La Suerte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariari Pococí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAR
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
COT
1 - 1
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
4 - 2
CAR
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 3
MUN
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
ADD
2 - 4
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
La Suerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LAS
1 - 0
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
LAS
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
LAS
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
LAS
3 - 0
JFC
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LAS
1 - 3
JAC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |