Cariari Pococí vs Aserrí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cariari Pococí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
JAC
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
6 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
JAC
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aserrí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 3
ASE
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
EBC
1 - 3
ASE
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
ASE
2 - 3
ADC
38%
26%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
ADC
1 - 0
ASE
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASE
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |