Cardiff MU vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
7º
6º
33
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
74.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
CWM
45%
23%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
68%
20%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
HAV
58%
23%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 5
TNS
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FEL
0 - 6
NEW
3%
7%
90%
|
67 | 7 | 60 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 0
CAE
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAL
50%
24%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
NEW
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 4
NEW
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |