Cardiff MU vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
CON
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
TAF
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RHY
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
TNS
12%
20%
67%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 3
RHY
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 0
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
PON
2 - 4
NEW
11%
16%
73%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
CEF
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |