Cardiff MU vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
7º
6º
14
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
74.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAR
8%
17%
75%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
HAV
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 4
CAE
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
COL
5 - 0
AIR
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
LLA
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
COL
4%
13%
83%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |