Cardiff MU vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 4
CAR
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
37%
25%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
LLA
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
CEF
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEF
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 3
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LLA
3 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |