Cardiff MU vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
5º
5º
45
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
TNS
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
BAL
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |