Cardiff MU vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
6º
4º
0
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAR
15%
25%
60%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
HAV
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
AIR
21%
21%
58%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 3
CAE
23%
22%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAR
15%
25%
60%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
AIR
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 8
TNS
11%
20%
70%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |