Cardiff City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
EXE
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAM
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BAT
0 - 5
CAR
5%
14%
81%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ROT
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
WHU
3 - 0
SOU
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 2
LEE
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 1
FUL
65%
21%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 1
CRY
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 0
SOU
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |