Cardiff City vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
BUR
3 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
HUR
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 2
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
STO
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 3
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
PEN
6 - 0
PON
89%
9%
3%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
PEN
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 5
TNS
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
PEN
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |