Championship Round 5

Cardiff City vs Brentford analysis

Cardiff City Brentford
70 ELO 69
-15.1% Tilt -23.7%
1506º General ELO ranking 74º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
51.5%
Cardiff City
23.1%
Draw
25.3%
Brentford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
Cardiff City
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.3%
Win probability
Brentford
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cardiff City
+18%
+6%
Brentford

ELO progression

Cardiff City
Brentford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cardiff City
Cardiff City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 1951
ROT
Rotherham United
2 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
49%
26%
24%
70 64 6 0
25 Aug. 1951
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 3
Cardiff City
CAR
54%
24%
22%
70 66 4 0
20 Aug. 1951
CAR
Cardiff City
2 - 4
Rotherham United
ROT
61%
22%
18%
70 63 7 0
18 Aug. 1951
CAR
Cardiff City
4 - 0
Leicester
LEI
56%
23%
22%
70 67 3 0
05 May. 1951
WHU
West Ham
0 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
59%
22%
19%
70 65 5 0

Matches

Brentford
Brentford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 1951
BRE
Brentford
1 - 0
Everton
EVE
46%
25%
29%
69 75 6 0
25 Aug. 1951
BRE
Brentford
2 - 0
Rotherham United
ROT
59%
22%
19%
68 64 4 +1
22 Aug. 1951
EVE
Everton
1 - 0
Brentford
BRE
62%
20%
18%
69 75 6 -1
18 Aug. 1951
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 1
Brentford
BRE
54%
23%
24%
69 70 1 0
05 May. 1951
SOU
Southampton
2 - 1
Brentford
BRE
58%
21%
21%
69 69 0 0