Carchá vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CON
1 - 2
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
COM
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
DEP
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 0
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MIX
0 - 0
AUR
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ACH
1 - 1
MIX
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
MIX
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MIX
2 - 0
SAC
40%
28%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
MIX
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |