Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
QUI
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MIX
1 - 1
CAR
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
COM
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 0
CON
22%
25%
52%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
COM
64%
23%
13%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 3
CON
26%
27%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
CON
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |