Carchá vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
VEN
25%
27%
47%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANT
5 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
COM
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
TOR
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 0
VEN
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ANT
3 - 1
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |