Carchá vs Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 1
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SAC
3 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
TEC
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ACH
3 - 2
CAR
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
JAL
1 - 3
ACH
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COB
3 - 0
JAL
38%
26%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
JAL
3 - 1
ZAC
42%
28%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
JAL
0 - 0
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
TEC
3 - 1
JAL
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |