Carchá vs Deportivo Jocotán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAR
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
CAR
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
IZT
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
IZT
1 - 0
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Jocotán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 0
MIX
59%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 0
DEP
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
DEP
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |