Carchá vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
SAY
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MIX
2 - 2
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JAL
1 - 0
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ACH
3 - 0
COB
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 0
SAC
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAY
3 - 0
ACH
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 1
MIX
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 2
ACH
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |