Carballedo CF vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
60.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+260%
+1117%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carballedo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 2
REL
41%
21%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 4
SRO
25%
21%
54%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
INC
2 - 1
CAR
71%
16%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
BRO
12%
17%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OUR
5 - 0
CAR
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SLU
2 - 0
RSI
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SRN
1 - 2
SLU
23%
19%
58%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BEC
2 - 3
SLU
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SLU
5 - 0
ANT
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
SLU
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |