Carballedo CF vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
49.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+288%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carballedo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 5
CAR
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
MON
57%
19%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
RUB
3 - 5
CAR
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 0
REL
36%
22%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
CAR
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
SLU
4 - 0
RUB
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
REL
1 - 2
SLU
15%
18%
68%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SLU
2 - 1
MIL
41%
24%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CLU
0 - 2
SLU
25%
21%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SLU
5 - 1
ANT
63%
20%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |