Caravel vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
JTL
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
DAK
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 8
BUB
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
RIV
53%
21%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
FAM
2 - 2
RCA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FAM
2 - 1
RIV
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 2
FAM
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FAM
5 - 0
JTL
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 2
FAM
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |