Caravel vs SV Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
DAK
0 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 7
EST
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 10
RCA
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 2
FAM
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SV Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
SVJ
6 - 0
SVE
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SVE
0 - 1
DAK
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
FAM
3 - 0
SVE
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SVE
2 - 3
BRI
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 2
SVE
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |