Caravel vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
JTL
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIV
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
NAC
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BRI
2 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
RCA
3 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
EST
3 - 0
FAM
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BUB
2 - 1
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
EST
9 - 0
SVS
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
JTL
2 - 1
EST
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
EST
0 - 2
RCA
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |