Caravel vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 13
RCA
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 7
FAM
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SVJ
2 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
EST
0 - 2
BRI
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 1
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2008 |
EST
2 - 0
SVJ
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
EST
1 - 4
DAK
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
RCA
3 - 1
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |