Caravel vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 10
RCA
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 2
FAM
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 1
SVJ
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
EST
1 - 1
BRI
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 1
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
EST
3 - 2
SVJ
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
DAK
1 - 1
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |