Caravel vs Dakota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
52.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
10º
10º
16
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 11
NAC
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
DAK
5 - 0
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dakota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DAK
1 - 4
BRI
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UFC
3 - 8
DAK
7%
11%
82%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
RCA
2 - 2
DAK
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
DAK
4 - 2
RCA
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 5
DAK
38%
22%
39%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |