Caravel vs Britannia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
RCA
50%
20%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DAK
2 - 1
CAR
55%
20%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
NAC
50%
20%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
EST
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BUB
3 - 2
CAR
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BRI
3 - 0
DAK
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 6
BRI
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RCA
2 - 0
BRI
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 1
DAK
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
BUB
0 - 2
BRI
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |